~BW Uzelman
PART 1
Federalism functions best where powers are clearly divided between the federal and provincial levels of government. Where jurisdictions are clearly the purview of one level or the other 含羞草研究社� like defense at the federal level or education at the provincial level 含羞草研究社� it is less likely for disputes between the two levels to develop. It is also more difficult for governments to duck accountability.
However, actions under federal jurisdiction can still extensively impact a policy area under provincial jurisdiction. Where it does, ineffective policy can result. That is the case with immigration and housing. Immigration is a federal power, but greatly influences the demand for housing. Housing is primarily under provincial jurisdiction. The two levels of government also have failed to coordinate immigration levels with housing growth. This has contributed to the housing shortage and affordability crisis.
Steve Lafleur and Josef Filipowicz wrote a study for the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, 含羞草研究社淕etting our houses in order: How a lack of intergovernmental policy coordination undermines housing affordability in Canada含羞草研究社�. The report examines how immigration policy and housing supply policy are 含羞草研究社渕isaligned含羞草研究社�.
The report states, 含羞草研究社淢any factors have contributed to eroding housing affordability, but the fundamental problem is a growing mismatch between demand and supply.含羞草研究社� The authors support this statement with data. Average population growth has increased from under 300,000 per year in the 1970含羞草研究社檚 to nearly 400,000 per year in the last decade. Average housing completions have slightly decreased, sitting at roughly 200,000 per year over the same period. The growing gap between demand and supply, say Lafleur and Filipowicz, 含羞草研究社渋s compounded by decades of underbuilding.含羞草研究社�
The authors note that, since the 1990含羞草研究社檚, immigration has replaced net births as the primary driver of population growth. Their data shows that in 2021-2022, both immigration and admission of non-permanent residents (including temporary foreign workers) increased dramatically from the low levels shown early in the pandemic. About 500,000 immigrants came to Canada in 2021-2022, while about 200,000 non-permanent residents were admitted. Net births continued to decline to about 50,000. Federal immigration targets range from 465,000 in 2023 to 500,000 in 2025.
The report also points out that, surprisingly, the availability of housing is not considered in federal-provincial immigration agreements. However, some provincial leaders have begun to comment on the 含羞草研究社渕isalignment含羞草研究社� between immigration levels and housing construction. The BC Housing Minister, say the authors, 含羞草研究社渃alled upon the federal government in January, 2023 to 含羞草研究社榓ctually tie immigration numbers to affordable housing targets as well as new housing starts含羞草研究社櫤卟菅芯可鐫.
The BC Government has developed an innovative system to better manage housing supply. The Housing Supply Act enables the government to provide housing targets to municipalities. Targets will begin to be assigned in 2024, apparently where shortages and affordability are most severe. The act seems to resolve Lafleur and Filipowicz含羞草研究社檚 objections to current growth planning, that is 含羞草研究社渓engthy, poorly anticipates demand and is poorly enforced含羞草研究社�. The targets are provided annually, so are regularly adjusted, and the province can require the municipality to enact or amend a bylaw or to issue or decline a permit.
However, there remains no process to coordinate demand with supply. National immigration targets are not matched with provincial housing supply or housing targets. To admit more immigrants and non-permanent residents than we can house is not rational. The consequences are not acceptable. Both the migrants and existing residents will face housing shortages and lack of affordability. The federal government, in setting immigration targets, clearly needs to consider the ability of the provinces to house them.
Lafleur and Filipowicz sum it up, 含羞草研究社淲ithout better coordination, the housing crisis will likely get worse.含羞草研究社�
Next week: Housing affordability 含羞草研究社� Part 2 含羞草研究社� A look at provincial and municipal constraints on housing supply.
bruce
Bruce W Uzelman
I grew up in Paradise Hill, a village in Northwestern Saskatchewan. I come from a large family. My parents instilled good values, but yet afforded us, my seven siblings and I, much freedom to do the things we wished to do. I spent my early years exploring the hills and forests and fields surrounding the village, a great way to come of age.
I attended the University of Saskatchewan in Saskatoon. I considered studying journalism at one point, but did not ultimately pursue that. However, I obtained a Bachelor of Arts, Advanced with majors in Economics and Political Science in 1982.
Contact: urbangeneral@shaw.ca
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