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含羞草研究社業nconsistent含羞草研究社 message on climate change hurt Liberals at the polls: SFU prof

Trudeau government will have to make concessions to hold onto power
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau celebrates a Liberal Party win on Monday, Oct. 21, 2019. (The Canadian Press)

The environment proved to be a critical issue in Monday含羞草研究社檚 election, and the Liberals含羞草研究社 compromise didn含羞草研究社檛 score them many votes on either side of the issue.

Climate change was polling as the No. 1 issue among voters prior to Oct. 21 vote, but one Simon Fraser University professor said Prime Minister Justin Trudeau tried to play both sides, and lost.

含羞草研究社淭hey tried to provide what they would view as a compromise 含羞草研究社 trying to build a pipeline and at the same time doing their carbon tax,含羞草研究社 said Tom Gunton of SFU含羞草研究社檚 Resource and Environmental Planning Program.

But their 含羞草研究社渋nconsistent message含羞草研究社 didn含羞草研究社檛 sit well with those worried for the climate, Gunton said.

含羞草研究社淚t was very difficult for them to portray themselves as defenders of the climate, while at the same time people would just point out 含羞草研究社榃ell, you just bought an oil pipeline.含羞草研究社櫤卟菅芯可鐫

It especially didn含羞草研究社檛 help them in the Prairies, he pointed out, as they were completely shut out of Alberta and Saskatchewan, and suffered losses in Quebec, where the Bloc Qu茅b茅cois jumped to 32 seats from just 10.

含羞草研究社淥pposition to pipelines is high in Quebec,含羞草研究社 Gunton said. 含羞草研究社淭hat was a liability for the Liberals.含羞草研究社

Overall, Trudeau hung onto 157 of 184 seats, but was downgraded to a minority government, while Andrew Scheer含羞草研究社檚 Conservatives jumped from 99 seats to 121 and actually won the popular vote.

The Liberals tried play the middle when it came to climate change, while other parties had a clearer goal.

The Conservatives, Gunton said, tried to keep Alberta and Saskatchewan happy by supporting pipelines, but lost in places like Ontario and Quebec.

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Gunton said the results paint a divided picture of Canada, with the Prairies and B.C.含羞草研究社檚 interior coloured a Tory blue, while more climate change-focused parties scooped up the rest of the country.

The NDP, which nearly halved their ridings to just 24 this election, could play a more significant role than their seat count suggests, he added, because of the minority result. Together, the Liberals, NDP and Greens have 184 seats 含羞草研究社 a significant majority.

含羞草研究社淭here will certainly be some concessions.含羞草研究社

As for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, Gunton said it含羞草研究社檚 hard to tell if politics or economics will hold it back the most.

含羞草研究社淭he costs of building it has doubled,含羞草研究社 he said. 含羞草研究社淵ou add to that the political dimension, as the Liberal government does not have a majority, and the parties it depends on for support are clearly opposed to Trans Mountain.含羞草研究社


katya.slepian@bpdigital.ca

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